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AUD/USD Price Analysis: Breaks out of rising channel and moves lower

  • AUD/USD has broken out of a rising channel and reached an initial target. 
  • There is a possibility the short-term trend is now bearish and the pair may go lower. 

AUD/USD has broken out of the rising channel and fallen to a preliminary target for the breakout, based on the Fibonacci 0.618 ratio of the height of the channel extrapolated from the breakout point lower. 

AUD/USD 4-hour Chart


 

The breakdown from the channel brings the short-term uptrend into doubt. If price now breaks below the 0.6592 day’s low it would help confirm the bearish trend and probably result in a continuation to the next downside target in the 0.6550-8 zone, where the 200 Simple Moving Average (SMA) is situated. 

A recovery above the 0.6653 May 23 high, however, would suggest the uptrend was still intact and AUD/USD is likely to go higher. 

 

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